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Forecast Comparison

National Weather Service (NW), Actual Observed (Act), WxSim Generated (WS)

Early Morning Forecast

Updated: 21 Nov 2017 at 05:55
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
21 Nov 2017 58   54 47   49 55   53 29   32 44   44 32   37 48   48 39   43
20 Nov 2017 47 46.5 48 36 37.9 42 57   56 46   48 51   52 31   31 43   44 34   38
19 Nov 2017 55 55.2 60 34 50 36 46 46.5 45 42 37.9 41 54   56 44   47 52   51 33   32
18 Nov 2017 54 53.2 53 52 29.2 48 56 55.2 60 34 50 35 45 46.5 45 37 37.9 40 54   56 43   46
17 Nov 2017 48 48.8 49 33 41.4 37 55 53.2 54 49 29.2 47 54 55.2 59 34 50 34 45 46.5 46 37 37.9 38
16 Nov 2017 55 55.6 58 37 45.7 39 48 48.8 47 34 41.4 37 57 53.2 57 47 29.2 47 53 55.2 52 33 50 33
15 Nov 2017 48 48.7 51 46 39.5 45 54 55.6 56 36 45.7 39 47 48.8 49 35 41.4 38 54 53.2 58 44 29.2 41
14 Nov 2017 46 44.2 49 35 39.5 38 49 48.7 51 45 39.5 45 55 55.6 57 36 45.7 36 47 48.8 47 36 41.4 38
13 Nov 2017 46 46.9 49 36 36 38 47 44.2 50 38 39.5 37 51 48.7 53 43 39.5 45 55 55.6 57 35 45.7 34
12 Nov 2017 48 49.4 47 37 28.7 37 46 46.9 47 36 36 38 47 44.2 54 39 39.5 39 51 48.7 53 42 39.5 46
11 Nov 2017 38 39.5 42 28 25.8 34 48 49.4 51 38 28.7 40 48 46.9 53 42 36 38 49 44.2 50 36 39.5 37
10 Nov 2017 38 43 45 22 39.1 27 39 39.5 42 26 25.8 34 49 49.4 52 40 28.7 39 51 46.9 55 37 36 40
09 Nov 2017 52 54 54 35 36 38 39 43 42 21 39.1 25 39 39.5 43 24 25.8 34 49 49.4 52 40 28.7 42
08 Nov 2017 51 48.3 54 39 40.6 40 53 54 57 35 36 35 39 43 38 22 39.1 26 39 39.5 42 29 25.8 35
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 11 5 4 4 10 7 4 2 7 3 3 2 6 3 2 1
% Succ 84.6   38.5 30.8   30.8 83.3   58.3 33.3   16.7 63.6   27.3 27.3   18.2 60.0   30.0 20.0   10.0
Ave Error 1.5   2.4 7.6   6.8 1.4   2.1 7.7   7.6 1.8   3.8 8.3   8.1 1.9   3.5 7.0   8.0
Net Error -0.6   2.0 -1.5   0.7 -0.4   1.4 -1.2   0.4 -0.0   2.6 -1.3   0.3 0.5   2.4 -0.5   1.0
Std Dev 1.2   1.6 6.9   5.3 0.9   1.8 6.5   5.6 1.3   3.2 6.8   6.8 1.3   2.6 6.6   6.7

Late Morning Forecast

Updated: 20 Nov 2017 at 09:55
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
20 Nov 2017 47   46 36   42 57   56 46   47 51   50 31   31 43   44 34   37
19 Nov 2017 56 55.2 56 34 37.9 37 46   45 42   41 54   56 44   46 52   50 33   32
18 Nov 2017 54 53.2 50 52 50 47 56 55.2 59 34 37.9 37 45   46 37   42 54   56 43   46
17 Nov 2017 48 48.8 50 33 29.2 37 55 53.2 55 49 50 48 54 55.2 59 34 37.9 35 45   47 37   40
16 Nov 2017 55 55.6 58 37 41.4 39 48 48.8 48 34 29.2 37 57 53.2 57 47 50 48 53 55.2 52 33 37.9 34
15 Nov 2017 45 48.7 50 46 45.7 44 54 55.6 56 36 41.4 39 47 48.8 49 35 29.2 37 54 53.2 58 44 50 41
14 Nov 2017 43 44.2 49 35 39.5 37 49 48.7 51 45 45.7 45 55 55.6 57 36 41.4 37 47 48.8 48 36 29.2 38
13 Nov 2017 46 46.9 49 36 39.5 38 47 44.2 50 38 39.5 37 51 48.7 53 43 45.7 45 55 55.6 57 35 41.4 34
12 Nov 2017 48 49.4 50 37 36 39 46 46.9 48 36 39.5 38 47 44.2 54 39 39.5 39 51 48.7 53 42 45.7 46
11 Nov 2017 38 39.5 43 28 28.7 35 48 49.4 51 38 36 40 48 46.9 53 42 39.5 38 49 44.2 50 36 39.5 37
10 Nov 2017 41 43 45 22 25.8 25 39 39.5 42 26 28.7 34 49 49.4 51 40 36 39 51 46.9 55 37 39.5 40
09 Nov 2017 52 54 59 35 39.1 39 39 43 43 21 25.8 26 39 39.5 43 24 28.7 35 49 49.4 52 40 36 43
08 Nov 2017 46 48.3 53 38 36 40 53 54 57 35 39.1 35 39 43 39 22 25.8 26 39 39.5 43 29 28.7 35
07 Nov 2017 51 50.5 55 40 40.6 42 52 48.3 54 37 36 41 53 54 59 34 39.1 31 38 43 34 22 25.8 23
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 11 5 6 6 9 6 5 5 7 3 1 5 5 2 1 2
% Succ 84.6   38.5 46.2   46.2 75.0   50.0 41.7   41.7 63.6   27.3 9.1   45.5 50.0   20.0 10.0   20.0
Ave Error 1.4   2.8 2.7   2.7 1.6   2.4 3.0   3.0 1.8   4.0 3.8   3.4 2.3   4.4 4.2   4.9
Net Error -1.1   2.3 -1.3   0.7 -0.1   2.3 -1.7   0.7 0.0   3.2 -1.5   -0.3 0.1   1.8 -2.0   -0.3
Std Dev 0.9   1.7 1.6   2.2 1.2   1.8 1.9   2.4 1.3   3.2 2.4   2.6 1.8   3.2 2.9   4.0

Afternoon Forecast

Updated: 20 Nov 2017 at 13:56
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
20 Nov 2017 47   48 36   43 57   57 46   48 51   52 31   32 43   44 34   39
19 Nov 2017 48 55.2 51 34 37.9 36 46   45 42   40 54   56 44   49 52   52 33   31
18 Nov 2017 54 53.2 55 52 50 52 56 55.2 62 34 37.9 35 45   44 37   41 54   55 43   45
17 Nov 2017 48 48.8 50 33 29.2 37 55 53.2 55 49 50 49 54 55.2 60 34 37.9 35 45   46 37   38
16 Nov 2017 58 55.6 58 37 41.4 39 48 48.8 47 34 29.2 37 57 53.2 56 47 50 49 53 55.2 59 33 37.9 32
15 Nov 2017 48 48.7 51 46 45.7 47 54 55.6 57 36 41.4 39 47 48.8 49 35 29.2 37 54 53.2 58 44 50 48
14 Nov 2017 42 44.2 47 35 39.5 37 49 48.7 50 45 45.7 44 55 55.6 55 36 41.4 38 47 48.8 49 36 29.2 39
13 Nov 2017 46 46.9 48 36 39.5 37 47 44.2 50 38 39.5 37 51 48.7 52 43 45.7 45 55 55.6 55 35 41.4 34
12 Nov 2017 47 49.4 52 37 36 43 46 46.9 48 36 39.5 38 47 44.2 52 39 39.5 37 51 48.7 52 42 45.7 44
11 Nov 2017 37 39.5 42 28 28.7 35 48 49.4 50 38 36 39 48 46.9 51 42 39.5 38 49 44.2 54 36 39.5 38
10 Nov 2017 41 43 40 22 25.8 25 39 39.5 42 26 28.7 33 49 49.4 52 40 36 40 51 46.9 54 37 39.5 39
09 Nov 2017 55 54 55 35 39.1 39 39 43 43 21 25.8 27 39 39.5 44 24 28.7 34 49 49.4 55 40 36 44
08 Nov 2017 48 48.3 51 38 36 41 53 54 56 35 39.1 36 39 43 40 22 25.8 26 39 39.5 43 29 28.7 35
07 Nov 2017 51 50.5 53 41 40.6 41 51 48.3 53 37 36 40 53 54 57 34 39.1 31 38 43 34 22 25.8 24
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 8 4 6 6 9 8 5 4 7 2 1 4 5 2 1 5
% Succ 61.5   30.8 46.2   46.2 75.0   66.7 41.7   33.3 63.6   18.2 9.1   36.4 50.0   20.0 10.0   50.0
Ave Error 1.8   2.3 2.6   3.1 1.6   2.5 3.0   3.0 1.8   3.3 3.8   3.4 2.3   4.8 4.2   4.5
Net Error -1.1   1.2 -1.2   1.5 -0.2   2.2 -1.7   0.4 0.0   2.7 -1.5   -0.3 0.1   2.9 -2.0   0.3
Std Dev 1.8   1.1 1.6   2.5 1.2   2.2 1.9   2.1 1.3   2.6 2.4   2.6 1.8   4.0 2.9   3.8

Evening Forecast

Updated: 20 Nov 2017 at 17:55
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
20 Nov 2017 36   42 57   57 44   50 54   54 31   32 42   45 33   37 46   50
19 Nov 2017 33 37.9 36 46 55.2 46 36   41 55   56 45   48 52   52 32   31 43   46
18 Nov 2017 49 50 50 56 53.2 59 33 37.9 35 47 55.2 44 42   40 54   55 44   45 52   48
17 Nov 2017 30 29.2 37 54 48.8 55 53 50 47 56 53.2 59 34 37.9 35 45 55.2 46 37   39 54   56
16 Nov 2017 40 41.4 39 49 55.6 47 33 29.2 37 55 48.8 55 52 50 48 52 53.2 55 30 37.9 32 44 55.2 44
15 Nov 2017 46 45.7 45 55 48.7 57 36 41.4 39 49 55.6 48 34 29.2 37 54 48.8 58 46 50 45 53 53.2 49
14 Nov 2017 35 39.5 37 49 44.2 50 45 45.7 44 55 48.7 56 36 41.4 40 47 55.6 48 36 29.2 37 55 48.8 55
13 Nov 2017 36 39.5 37 46 46.9 49 35 39.5 38 49 44.2 52 42 45.7 45 54 48.7 54 35 41.4 36 49 55.6 49
12 Nov 2017 38 36 39 45 49.4 45 38 39.5 37 49 46.9 52 37 39.5 38 53 44.2 51 44 45.7 45 58 48.7 56
11 Nov 2017 28 28.7 33 48 39.5 49 38 36 38 47 49.4 51 37 39.5 37 52 46.9 54 38 39.5 39 53 44.2 54
10 Nov 2017 21 25.8 26 40 43 42 24 28.7 33 48 39.5 51 37 36 38 51 49.4 54 37 39.5 39 51 46.9 54
09 Nov 2017 37 39.1 39 38 54 43 22 25.8 26 42 43 42 26 28.7 34 48 39.5 52 41 36 40 51 49.4 56
08 Nov 2017 38 36 40 53 48.3 57 35 39.1 37 39 54 41 22 25.8 25 39 43 43 29 28.7 35 49 39.5 53
07 Nov 2017 41 40.6 40 51 50.5 54 39 36 40 54 48.3 58 33 39.1 34 40 54 38 22 25.8 23 41 43 42
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 8 6 2 1 3 4 1 2 2 6 2 2 3 3 3 1
% Succ 61.5   46.2 15.4   7.7 25.0   33.3 8.3   16.7 18.2   54.5 18.2   18.2 30.0   30.0 30.0   10.0
Ave Error 2.2   2.3 5.6   6.5 3.5   2.9 5.8   7.3 3.5   2.9 6.6   7.3 4.0   3.9 6.0   7.4
Net Error -1.3   0.7 -0.6   1.2 -1.5   0.2 0.3   1.9 -2.1   -0.2 -0.3   1.3 -1.6   -0.3 2.0   2.8
Std Dev 1.7   2.2 3.9   3.4 2.0   2.1 3.4   4.3 2.2   2.3 4.4   4.3 3.2   3.2 4.7   5.0

Night Forecast

Updated: 20 Nov 2017 at 21:55
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
20 Nov 2017 37   41 57   56 44   49 54   54 31   32 42   45 33   37 46   50
19 Nov 2017 33 37.9 37 46 46.5 47 36   42 55   56 45   48 52   52 32   31 43   46
18 Nov 2017 52 50 51 56 55.2 60 33 37.9 36 47 46.5 44 42   41 54   55 44   45 52   49
17 Nov 2017 31 29.2 38 54 53.2 55 53 50 48 56 55.2 59 34 37.9 35 45 46.5 46 37   39 54   56
16 Nov 2017 40 41.4 41 49 48.8 49 33 29.2 38 55 53.2 56 52 50 49 52 55.2 55 30 37.9 32 44 46.5 44
15 Nov 2017 47 45.7 46 55 55.6 57 36 41.4 39 49 48.8 48 34 29.2 37 54 53.2 58 46 50 45 53 55.2 49
14 Nov 2017 39 39.5 38 49 48.7 51 45 45.7 45 55 55.6 57 36 41.4 40 47 48.8 48 36 29.2 38 55 53.2 55
13 Nov 2017 36 39.5 39 46 44.2 50 35 39.5 38 49 48.7 52 42 45.7 45 54 55.6 54 35 41.4 36 49 48.8 49
12 Nov 2017 36 36 35 45 46.9 44 38 39.5 36 49 44.2 52 37 39.5 37 53 48.7 51 44 45.7 45 58 55.6 56
11 Nov 2017 25 28.7 29 48 49.4 48 38 36 38 47 46.9 51 37 39.5 38 52 44.2 54 38 39.5 39 53 48.7 54
10 Nov 2017 21 25.8 27 40 39.5 42 24 28.7 34 48 49.4 51 37 36 38 51 46.9 54 37 39.5 39 51 44.2 54
09 Nov 2017 37 39.1 39 38 43 43 22 25.8 26 42 39.5 42 26 28.7 34 48 49.4 52 41 36 40 51 46.9 56
08 Nov 2017 38 36 42 53 54 57 35 39.1 37 39 43 41 22 25.8 25 39 39.5 43 29 28.7 35 49 49.4 53
07 Nov 2017 42 40.6 41 51 48.3 54 39 36 41 54 54 58 33 39.1 35 40 43 38 22 25.8 23 41 39.5 42
Results NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS NW Act WS
# Succ 8 11 11 6 3 6 9 4 2 6 6 4 3 3 4 3
% Succ 61.5   84.6 84.6   46.2 25.0   50.0 75.0   33.3 18.2   54.5 54.5   36.4 30.0   30.0 40.0   30.0
Ave Error 2.3   1.7 1.3   2.5 3.5   3.0 1.4   3.1 3.5   2.7 2.7   3.5 4.0   4.0 2.6   4.1
Net Error -1.0   1.0 -0.3   1.8 -1.5   0.6 0.4   2.2 -2.1   0.0 0.4   2.0 -1.6   -0.2 1.6   2.4
Std Dev 1.6   2.5 1.3   1.8 2.0   2.5 1.4   2.1 2.2   2.3 2.3   3.3 3.2   3.4 1.9   3.3
Weather Terms: Blowing Snow Advisory - Widespread blowing snow with winds 25 to 35 mph, occasionally reducing visibility to 1/4 mile or less.