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Information from NOAA Storm Prediction Center at this website

More SPC info on this site: 

SPC Day 4-8 Outlook

Updates are issued at 400 am CST/CDT (0900/1000 UTC) - Current UTC time: Nov 23 2017 4:59 pm


 

Day 1

D4Sunday 26 November 2017 - Monday 27 November 2017 D7Wednesday 29 November 2017 - Thursday 30 November 2017
D5Monday 27 November 2017 - Tuesday 28 November 2017 D8Thursday 30 November 2017 - Friday 01 December 2017
D6Tuesday 28 November 2017 - Wednesday 29 November 2017 (All days are valid from 12 UTC - 12 UTC)
PREDICTABILITY TOO LOW is used to indicate severe storms may be possible based on some model scenarios. However, the location or occurrence of severe storms are in doubt due to:
1) large differences in the deterministic model solutions,
2) large spread in the ensemble guidance, and/or
3) minimal run-to-run continuity.

POTENTIAL TOO LOW means the threat for a regional area of organized severe storms appears highly unlikely during the entire period (e.g. less than a 30% probability for a regional severe storm area across the CONUS through the entire Day 4-8 period).
        

Day 2

Day 3

Largly based on original scripts from Ken True: saratoga-weather.org and Rick Curly: ricksturf.com

Cloud Base: The cloud base is the distance from the sea level to the base of the clouds. It is estimated using the current temperature and humidity to indicate an altitude where the air could be cold enough for clouds to form. There may or may not be clouds at that altitude (or at any altitude)