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Information from NOAA Storm Prediction Center at this website

More SPC info on this site: 

SPC Day 4-8 Outlook

Updates are issued at 400 am CST/CDT (0900/1000 UTC) - Current UTC time: Nov 14 2018 1:10 pm


 

Day 1

D4Saturday 17 November 2018 - Sunday 18 November 2018 D7Tuesday 20 November 2018 - Wednesday 21 November 2018
D5Sunday 18 November 2018 - Monday 19 November 2018 D8Wednesday 21 November 2018 - Thursday 22 November 2018
D6Monday 19 November 2018 - Tuesday 20 November 2018 (All days are valid from 12 UTC - 12 UTC)
PREDICTABILITY TOO LOW is used to indicate severe storms may be possible based on some model scenarios. However, the location or occurrence of severe storms are in doubt due to:
1) large differences in the deterministic model solutions,
2) large spread in the ensemble guidance, and/or
3) minimal run-to-run continuity.

POTENTIAL TOO LOW means the threat for a regional area of organized severe storms appears highly unlikely during the entire period (e.g. less than a 30% probability for a regional severe storm area across the CONUS through the entire Day 4-8 period).
        

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Day 2

Day 3

Largly based on original scripts from Ken True: saratoga-weather.org and Rick Curly: ricksturf.com

Weather Terms: Freeze Warning - Widespread temperatures at or below 32°F during the growing season. A freeze may occur with or without frost. A hard freeze occurs with temperatures below 28°F. Growing season is based on the average date of first and last freeze at O'Hare. It begins April 17 and ends October 27.