Information from NOAA Storm Prediction Center at this website
| More SPC info on this site: |
SPC Day 4-8 Outlook
Updates are issued at 400 am CST/CDT (0900/1000 UTC) - Current UTC time: Aug 19 2026 6:04 pm
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Day 1 |
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PREDICTABILITY TOO LOW is used to indicate severe storms may be
possible based on some model scenarios.
However, the location or occurrence of severe storms are in doubt
due to:
1) large differences in the deterministic model solutions, 2) large spread in the ensemble guidance, and/or 3) minimal run-to-run continuity. POTENTIAL TOO LOW means the threat for a regional area of organized severe storms appears highly unlikely during the entire period (e.g. less than a 30% probability for a regional severe storm area across the CONUS through the entire Day 4-8 period).
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Day 2 
Day 3 
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